Interest Rate & Market Update 04/14/2008

Posted by homeownershipaccelerator on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

 
   
Monday's bond market has opened down slightly following the release of stronger than expected economic news. The stock markets are reacting to weak earnings from a major bank, pushing the Dow down 20 points and the Nasdaq down 9 points. The bond market is currently down 3/32, which will likely lead to a small increase in this morning's mortgage rates.

The Commerce Department posted March's Retail Sales data early this morning, showing a 0.2% rise in sales. This was a little stronger than what was expected but also contributing to the lackluster open in bonds was an upward revision to February's sales. Today's release revised February's sales higher by 0.2%. This means that sales were stronger than expected the past two months.

The rest of the week brings us the release of six relevant economic reports for the bond market to digest. They begin tomorrow with the release of March's Producer Price Index (PPI). This data gives us an important measu rement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two portions of the report that analysts watch- the overall reading and the core data reading. The core data is more important to market participants because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. If it shows rapidly rising prices, inflation fears may hurt bond prices, leading to higher mortgage rates tomorrow morning. However, a small increase, or better yet a decline in prices, would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.6% increase in the overall reading and a 0.2% rise in the core data.

There are four pieces of news scheduled for release Wednesday. We will see March's Consumer Price Index (CPI), Housing Starts and Industrial Production reports along with the Fed Beige Book Wednesday. It will likely be the most active day of the week for mortgage rates.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

2008
Apr 14

This post is from the Blown Mortgage Hall of Fame.  It caused quite a commotion when I originally posted it.  You can read the original comments here.  There are pros and cons to mortgage brokering vs. mortgage banking - I guess the question now is which one is going to last.  I’m a day away from my vacation - can’t wait to catch up with you all!

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Several people have asked me to comment on the differences between mortgage brokers and mortgage bankers and levy an opinion on which I believe to be the better business model. I am, of course, weighing in on what I believe the best model to deliver service and a solid loan to a consumer, and will ignore owner-related issues such as profit margins as they do not relate to the overall customer experience. This is not meant to be a deep introspection of the two models; rather, consider it a survey of some of the important differences between the two and their implications on customers interacting with each.
If you’re wondering why I may be able to speak to this argument with any rigor it is due to the fact that the company I own has operated under both the mortgage broker and mortgage banker business models. As the champion of our switch from brokering to banking, and the change agent involved in the transition, I have a first hand knowledge of all aspects of the differences between the two models. With this understanding I believe I can candidly discuss the pros and cons of both models; and what the implications of each are for the customer.

For those of you with limited time or attention, I’ll share my conclusion with you here. With anything complicated the answer is “it depends,” and here is the distillation of the below: if you are unconcerned about loan-product selection and you are a very vanilla-type borrower then I would suggest choosing the mortgage banker. If you are concerned about a wide selection or you have a difficult financial or credit history I would suggest choosing the mortgage broker. With one caveat, I would always suggest the mortgage broker over the small mortgage bank.

The Broker Argument
The broker argument is often surmised as follows. The broker has a wide range of bank partners and loan options, making it easy for brokers to find and place the best loan for a customer in terms of price, rate and terms of the loan. The argument continues, not incidentally, that people with difficult-to-document situations can be served by this wide network of lending partners. Brokers will also excitedly share with you the discount you receive by receiving “wholesale” rates that are below the market that banks offer. The reasoning is that because the broker is responsible for overhead they receive a reduced rate from the bank – which they are graciously passing on to you, the customer.

An Argument against Brokers
Often, you’ll hear someone who works for a bank or a mortgage banker tell you that working with a mortgage broker is bad news with the following pitch. A broker is an independent third party, with zero decision-making ability; they don’t approve your loan and have to wait in line with all other mortgage brokers while they wait for a decision from the underwriting department. Further, when you have a middleman you pay for that extra party involved. They have expenses that they need to cover by fees charged up front on a loan; which means higher upfront charges to you.

The Banker Argument
The banker argument sounds a bit like this. By working with a direct lender you have eliminated and expensive middleman who has zero decision-making ability. You have decided to come straight to the source; and because we lend our own money we are able to make underwriting decisions, gain special exceptions, and process your loan much faster at a much lower cost to you. Everything is done in-house, there is no waiting inline, no false promises – I can give you a fully underwritten approval from right down the hall. A mortgage broker can’t really tell you what you’re approved for until they hear back from the bank, which can be weeks. Why put yourself through that when I can tell you right now whether you’re approved or not? And remember, we are a financial institution, a direct lender, not just a fly-by-night broker who you are not sure is going to be there tomorrow.

An Argument against Bankers
Often, when a broker is competing against a banker they’ll use some derivative of the following argument. Mortgage bankers are exceptionally limited in the products that they are able to offer. They make their money by producing volume in limited product categories; in addition they don’t have the opportunity to shop for the true best deal for you. You only get to choose from what they offer, and depending on their specialty, those rates and programs could be far from the market value. You also don’t see how much money they truly make on your loan. They could be making thousands of dollars in additional hidden profit by giving you a higher interest rate than you deserve.Further, many small mortgage banks are nothing more than brokers on steroids. Since they sell your loan immediately they don’t always have ultimate control like they say they do. Finally, your loan will be sold immediately. This means that you may be confused about whom to make your payment to, and will have to deal with the headaches of your lender changing almost as soon as the ink dries on your loan documents.

Common Misconceptions about Brokers
With anything confusing people attempt to simplify the story to make it easier to understand. We are far better at remembering and making sense out of stories than we are at remembering and processing lists of facts and figures. That’s why people tell stories and don’t rattle off bulleted lists. The problem with the way we process information and remember stories however; is that we tend to over-simplify to make the story cleaner and easier to tell and remember. For most things the result is negligible, and the simplification suits us well; for others this tendency can be damaging. Such is the case in a complex comparison between brokers and bankers. By distilling to simple comparisons we fall victims to the lack of focus on key distinctions and facts.

Here are some common misconceptions about brokers, and a humble rebuttal.

Brokers don’t have to be licensed
This is patently wrong (mostly, depending on the state). Brokers are governed by state licensing institutions and therefore require licenses to operate. Federally chartered banks are not subject to state licensing requirements and therefore do not need to have their employees licensed under the state regulations in the jurisdictions where they operate. The efficacy of licensing is a debate for another time; but suffice to say, according to (most) state laws brokers of residential home loans need a license.

Brokers have no decision making power
This is wrong as well. While this myth is most likely perpetuated from the past, brokers have many of the same tools as the mortgage banks in terms of underwriting and qualifying a borrower for a home loan, on the spot. Brokers have access to the same Automated Underwriting Systems (AUS) that most mortgage bankers do. This allows brokers to obtain instant approvals in-house with out needing to ship the file off to the bank for approval. Once an AUS approve is obtained, the bank simply verifies the documentation supports the information uploaded in to the AUS; they do not re-underwrite the loan, and they do not review the decision (except as noted).

This means that an approval from a broker is as solid as the one from the bank. In fact, the mortgage bank is going to do the exact same thing. Where this myth holds is in the offices of the “old school” brokers who refuse to run files through AUS prior to submitting files to the bank. By avoiding this recent technological advance the broker is putting you in line with others; and then truly has no decision making ability. Some times, if you are a subprime borrower or have a unique lending circumstance, brokers may not be able to issue an AUS approval, and then your file will need a complete underwrite at the bank your loan is destined.

Brokers are financially unstable
Bankers love to portray all mortgage brokers as fly-by-night operations that don’t have the capitalization or the stability to be a direct lender. This is certainly true in some cases. Some people who obtain a brokers license choose to practice their craft on a part-time basis, others are truly the fly-by-night variety, in the industry for a quick buck and then gone the moment things get tough; however, there are some brokers that are well established, have a longer track record of success than a mortgage banker, are better capitalized and have made a choice to stay a broker.

Brokers are a rip-off
There seems to be an American quality that drives us to “eliminate the middle man,” perhaps it’s been the successful marketing over the years of direct-to-consumer efforts of other industries. We love Costco, we love discount “wholesalers” we loathe paying markups and dealing with middlemen. In the case of mortgage brokers some are certainly rip-offs. The fact remains however that anyone issuing credit to you in the form of a home loan can rip you off. Bankers can certainly charge excessive fees with the best of under-handed brokers. Loan officers at banks and loan officers in a brokerage all have varying moral compasses and the institution they work for has little to do with their current direction.

Here are some common misconceptions about mortgage bankers; again with a rebuttal:

Bankers charge more on loans – you just don’t know it
Some brokers argue that because mortgage bankers are not required by law (like brokers are) to disclose the compensation paid to them for selling premium interest rates, bankers are able to dupe the customer in to a higher interest rate to reap additional hidden profit. While it is true that bankers do not need to disclose that hidden profit (known as yield spread premium, see link for in-depth explanation) most are unable to maximize that hidden profit because to do so would price them out of the competitive interest rate market. Hidden profit cannot be made unless there are higher interest rates charged to the customer. Unless the customer is blindly accepting the rate on good faith, they should be able to quickly surmise that the rate offered is way out of line with even a superficial comparison shopping effort.

This competitive environment often limits this ability to hide profit from customers from turning in to a “rip off.”

Bankers are limited to only one of two programs
I’ve heard the silly argument that bankers are bad for consumers because they only offer say, product A or B, and if product A or B isn’t ideal for the customer the mortgage banker still steers them in to one regardless better options “out there.” While bankers do customarily have fewer bank relationships than brokers, this does not necessarily mean they are more limited in the mortgage products they can offer. Take for instance a mortgage banker that sells to Countrywide. This banker may have in excess of 150 different loan products running the full spectrum of financing options.

Additionally, mortgage bankers may be allowed (based on the business rules established in the institution) to take loans that don’t “fit” their banking guidelines through the broker channel and act in a limited broker capacity; that is they can farm your loan out if it doesn’t fit internal guidelines. As I said, their ability to do that is really dependent upon the institution they work for.

Bankers have better rates
Some people mistakenly believe that bankers have lower rates than brokers. It probably stems from the “eliminate the middleman” pitch that we discussed above. This myth is just that, a myth. Rates are based upon the rate available to the bank for the particular loan program PLUS the markup charged by the banker to cover their expenses and add to the bottom line. This markup is hidden from you, the borrower, and often from the employees – definitely the sales team. Brokers must disclose all rate markups. This doesn’t imply that banker rates are higher than broker rates, but it does suggest that regardless of business model their will be fluctuations based on decisions made at each individual business.

Some pros and cons of working with a broker

Pros

  • Low overhead can lead to lower rates
  • Wide range of products from diverse lending sources
  • Can source many different financing options
  • Must disclose all compensation associated with loan

Cons

  • Necessary middleman
  • Sometimes limited decision making ability
  • Can be ephemeral, lower barrier to entry for business owners

Some pros and cons of working with a mortgage banker

Pros

  • On-site decision making ability, more control over the process
  • Better rates for larger banks (volume discounting)

Cons

  • Don’t disclose yield spread premium profit
  • May charge additional fees to support overhead (underwriting, etc.)
  • May not have true decision making ability

Why I don’t like small mortgage banks
I said earlier that if you had to choose between a broker and a small mortgage banker to always go with the broker. Here’s why I believe that.

Decision Making Ability
To make a decision on a loan you need an underwriter to sign off on the loan and a funder to coordinate the funding by ensuring the final documents are in place that make the loan “sellable.” When those two positions are properly performing their job functions you have in-house decision making ability on loan approval and funding. The problem with small mortgage banks is that they may not have underwriting and funding in-house. This takes the decision making ability right back out of the hands of the small mortgage bank; making them no better than a mortgage broker on steroids.

Small mortgage banks may not have underwriting and funding in-house due to the high expense associated with the positions. Underwriters are not cheap, and while funders are relatively inexpensive it is a fixed cost that some smaller operations choose to not incur. So if you are working with a small mortgage bank they may have a contract underwriter or a part-time underwriter or use an underwriting service to approve the loans they plan on writing. This invalidates their argument of having centrally-based decision making ability because they are sending their loan files off to another source outside of their organization for someone else to underwrite and make the decision. This is exactly what brokers do.

To exacerbate that problem, smaller mortgage banks often require prior approval from either their warehouse line or end investor (the bank ultimately buying the loan) or both. This means that not only does the small mortgage bank have to underwrite the loan (by sending it out?) but they also need to receive approval from their warehouse credit facility to lend the money and they may even need the investor’s prior approval to buy the loan before they are willing or able to fund the loan.

So hopefully you can see the added complexity that can bog down your loan when you use a small mortgage bank. Instead of one approval, they may need up to 3 approvals before your loan is truly approved and ready to go. Most of these problems are alleviated when you use a larger mortgage banker who has in-house, delegated underwriting authority. The question to ask when someone tells you they are a direct lender is “Do you have in-house underwriting?” and “Do you have delegated approval authority from your investor?” If the answers are yes to both of these questions then you are in pretty good shape; if not the service provider is going through extra hoops to approve your loan for funding.

Costs
As I mentioned above underwriters and funders are not cheap, and they are fixed costs for a mortgage bank; costs that aren’t there for mortgage brokers. There are other costs for mortgage bankers that are not associated with brokers – warehouse interest fees, document preparation fees, fees associated with the loan sale and transfer, and of course the added salaries of the people involved in the process.

These costs need to be recouped by small mortgage banks, and they often do it either by adding hidden profit in to the loans in the form of inflated interest rates, or by charging additional fees on the closing statement to recoup the costs of mortgage banking business. For a smaller mortgage bank that doesn’t do a lot of volume the need to recoup costs may be much higher on a per loan basis than a larger mortgage bank. Again these costs are non-existent for a mortgage broker.

You can see that a large mortgage banker, who operates on volume and therefore only needs to recoup a small portion of expenses on each funded loan; and a mortgage broker who doesn’t have the associated costs with their business model, may be less expensive than the smaller mortgage bank.

Higher Interest Rates
Continuing with the above, the need to recoup costs while profiting in a higher-overhead environment can often times manifest itself in interest rate mark ups. That is, the mortgage banker is not required to disclose yield spread premium profit on each loan. They therefore are able to mark up the rates offered to them by investors in secret, before delivering them to the sales staff so that there is a fixed profit margin on each interest rate quoted. This is often profit for the house and not known by the sales staff. In order to achieve this profit though there needs to be a spread between the interest rate offered by the investor and the interest rate charged to the customer by the mortgage banker. This can be anywhere from a few percentage points to a quarter or half-again higher interest rate.

This is exacerbated in smaller institutions because of the pressure to increase margins on each unit funded because of the overhead expense associated with banking. Larger institutions can make smaller profit on each individual unit; relying on volume to make up the difference.

In Conclusion
The banker/broker argument is a bit overblown. It is often used as a sales tool and the benefits of each are usually espoused the strongest based on the company’s current business model. Bankers push banking and brokers push brokering. As both a banker and a broker (a small banker, btw) I think that both models are efficient and have pros and cons that offset one another and are often overblown. I think that consumers, real estate professionals and other interacting with the lending community should not base their decisions on the business model chosen by the financing source (broker or banker) but rather on the individual merits of the people and institution. Regardless of model, I would look for people that tell the full story and look out for the best interests of the borrower as tantamount to any of the concerns above. Bankers and brokers both can be excellent sources of financing and lousy sources of financing. It’s up to the borrower to and business partner to choose their financing source based on service, honesty, integrity and follow through; more so than rate, cost or business model.

Foreclosure Sales Jump 70 Percent in Q1: Report

Posted by Paul Jackson on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

Lenders repossessed 210,280 homes in the first quarter of 2008 — nearly 3 of every 1,000 households nationwide — up nearly 71 percent from year-ago volume, according to statistics released Monday by Foreclosures.com, a foreclosure information specialist. The number translates into a similar surge in REO inventory during the first quarter, relative to one year earlier, as servicers are increasingly forced to take back properties at the courthouse steps.

Borrower defaults surged as well during the quarter, Foreclosures.com said in a press statement. Lenders filed 515,411 notices of default (or an equivalent) during the quarter, according to the company’s stats, up sharply from 264,445 filings recorded just one year ago.

The numbers are more evidence of a housing market that has yet to reach bottom; CEO Alexis McGee, however, argued that perspective is needed. “Total outstanding U.S. mortgage debt totals more than $10 trillion! Foreclosures are a drop in that bucket,” she said.

McGee said that while foreclosures and borrower defaults may be up significantly, most defaults are the “result of subprime loans that shouldn’t have been made in the first place.”

California led the way in REO during the first quarter, with more than 51,000 properties becoming bank-owned between January and the end of March. Second-place Florida lagged significantly behind, logging 18,055 properties into REO within the same time frame.

For more information, visit http://www.foreclosures.com.

2008
Apr 14

Possible ways to avoid foreclosure
To avoid foreclosures you should first ask your lender if it is possible to lower your payments. You can also ask them if it is possible to lower your interest rate or extend the repayment period. Using your home equity you may be able to refinance at a lower rate. As a last option you should think about selling your house. This will allow you to repay the loan and improve your credit.

Things to watch out for
Watch out for people that might try to take advantage of you. If you are already in a bad spot you don't want to be spending money on lawyers and brokers that take advantage of you. You can check out the Better Business Bureau to see if the person has complains against them. And always make sure you read before you sign.

Selling your house
If you end up selling your house, but the sale wasn't enough to cover all the costs then you might need to talk to your lender and let them know. The lender would prefer if you did this rather then going into foreclosure. Either way the lender is going to have to sell the house. This will prevent your credit from being damaged. You will need to submit a letter to your lender letting them know why you can't cover all the costs.

How to write a short sale letter
The letter should be emotional and show real struggling individuals. You might be embarrassed to share your story with other people, but you need to in order to have them help you. Make sure you don't point your finger at anyone in this letter. If you were ill or someone in your family has died then the lenders will sympathize with you more. Don't lie though. Be honest and sincere. Have someone read over your letter so you can get their opinion.

Clayton Headed Private, Enters Deal with Greenfield Partners

Posted by Paul Jackson on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

Clayton Holdings, Inc. (CLAY: 5.76, +19.50%), a leading due diligence and surveillance provider for the mortgage industry, said Monday that it had agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Greenfield Partners, LLC in a deal worth approximately $134 million.

Under the terms of the deal, a fund managed by Greenfield will acquire all outstanding shares of Clayton Holdings for $6.00 per share, a substantial premium over Friday’s closing price of $4.82. Shares immediately rose nearly 20 percent when trading began Monday morning on the New York Stock Exchange.

The sale has been approved by the company’s board, but it subject to shareholder approval, the Clayton said in a press statement. The company said it expects to close the deal by the third quarter of 2008, and that majority shareholder TA Associates — which owns approximately 37 percent of the company’s outstanding stock — agreed to vote in favor of the deal.

“For our clients and employees, the transaction will strengthen our balance sheet and allow us to continue to invest in European operations and in the development of products and services that will deliver the greater transparency and predictive solutions that the market will require,” said Frank Filipps, chairman and CEO at Clayton.

Eugune Gorab, CEO at Greenfield, said that the acquisition was made out of an interest to see Clayton expand its participation in “the restructuring of the asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities markets.”

As the market crunch has worn on, demand for risk management and surveillance services has become central to what many expect to be the future of mortgage securitization. The deal with Clayton underscores that hedge funds are looking not only to swoop in and purchase distressed assets on both the primary and secondary sides of the mortgage market, but also to position themselves within those companies that provide key services to what is expected to be a burgeoning market for the next few years.

Disclosure: Although he wishes he had, the author held no positions in CLAY when this story was originally published. HW reporters and writers follow a strict disclosure policy, the first in the mortgage trade.

2008
Apr 14

Troubled lender Fremont General Corp. (FMT: 0.5301, +17.80%) said Monday that it had entered a deal to sell its “substantially all” of the bank’s assets and deposit liabilities to a subsidiary of CapitalSource, Inc. (CSE: 12.1899, +16.32%). The deal includes a participation interest in certain previously-sold commercial real estate loans, the assumption of bank deposits and the acquisition of all the bank’s retail branches, Fremont said in a press statement.

Capital Source will pay a 2 percent premium on all bank deposits, and will purchase the bank’s participation interest in previously sold commercial real estate loans at a 3 percent discount; all other assets will be sold at net book value, Fremont said. The deal notably does not include Fremont’s sizeable residential mortgage assets or its mortgage servicing platform — both have been the source of much of the bank’s financial troubles as of late.

Full terms of the deal were not disclosed, although Fremont said it may need a loan of up to $200 million — secured by its servicing advance receivables — in order to close the transaction.

The expected sale comes on the heels of an FDIC order issued in late March, which required the bank to capitalize or sell itself within 60 days. Fremont’s latest round of troubles began in late February, when it said that write-downs and loss reserve charges had eroded its capital base; since that time, Fremont has defaulted on loan purchase contracts worth $3.15 billion and delayed an interest payment on $169 million in debt.

The proposed deal requires FDIC approval, and will require shareholders to approve it as well. Fremont warned that after the deal is complete, it might not have sufficient funds remaining for shareholders or creditors; the warning means that whatever is left over after the deal is complete may be subject to a bankruptcy filing.

Disclosure: The author held no positions in CSE or FMT when this story was originally published. HW reporters and writers follow a strict disclosure policy, the first in the mortgage trade.

Wachovia Posts Unexpected Q1 Loss; Will Raise Capital

Posted by Paul Jackson on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

Wachovia Corp (WB: 27.81, 0.00%) said Monday morning that it lost $393 million, or $.20/share, during the first quarter of 2008 as the nation’s fourth largest bank struggled with its exposure to the troubled U.S. mortgage market. The earnings miss contrasted with earnings of $2.3 billion, or $1.20/share, in the year ago period.

Thomson Financial reported that analysts had been expecting earnings of $.40/share for the quarter. CEO Ken Thompson called the first quarter loss “deeply disappointing” and said that the bank would move to slash its dividend in a move to preserve capital, as a well as looking to raise $7 billion in a share sale.

“The precipitous decline in housing market conditions and unprecedented changes in consumer behavior prompted us to update our credit reserve modeling and rely less heavily on historical trends to forecast losses,” he said in a press statement Monday morning.

Cutting its dividend to 37.5 cents is expected to save $2 billion of capital annually, the company said.

“The most painful decision was to reduce the dividend because it adversely affects our shareholders,” said Thompson. “But we believe the long-term benefit to shareholder value outweighs the disadvantage of the dividend reduction as we fortify our balance sheet against continued instability in the housing and capital markets.”

The nation’s fourth largest bank said it absorbed credit losses of $2.8 billion during the quarter, which exceeded net charge-off activity totalling $2.1 billion.

Wachovia said on Sunday that it would move its earnings release up to Monday morning; the company had been slated to release its first quarter results this Friday.

Wachovia has been facing increasing trouble tied to ongoing turmoil in the U.S. mortgage market, and in particular has had problems associated with an ill-timed acquisition of option ARM mortgage specialist Golden West Financial. The bank booked a $1.5 billion provision for credit losses during the fourth quarter of 2007, citing significant deterioration in the residential housing market.

News of an investment at Wachovia comes on the heels of a $7 billion capital infusion to Seattle-based Washington Mutual last week, which saw private equity firm TPG take a significant stake in the banking giant.

Wachovia has been looking in recent weeks to make a sharp pullback from option ARM lending, which can quickly put borrowers in a so-called “negative equity” situation (see earlier HW coverage here). During the housing slump, such an outcome is driving many borrowers to simply walk away from their homes, rather than face the often arduous and time-intensive process that can be associated with performing a loan workout.

Disclosure: The author held no positions in WB when this story was originally published. HW reporters and writers follow a strict disclosure policy, the first in the mortgage trade.

Wachovia to Get $7 Billion Infusion: Report

Posted by Paul Jackson on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

Wachovia Corp (WB: 27.81, -0.22%) on Sunday evening announced that it would move its quarterly earnings report up to Monday morning ahead of market open, coinciding with a weekend report in the Wall Street Journal that said the Charlotte, NC-based bank was set to receive anywhere from $6 billion to $7 billion in additional capital.

The Journal reported that the nation’s fifth largest bank by market cap was likely to issue shares to an unnamed investor group priced at a 15 percent discount to Wachovia’s $27.81 closing price on Friday.

While Wachovia has not commented to the press on the rumors, it did say on Sunday that it would move its earnings release up to Monday morning; the company had been slated to release its first quarter results this Friday. Sources close to the company have suggested to HW that the company will “most definitely” release full details in the morning.

Wachovia has been facing increasing trouble tied to ongoing turmoil in the U.S. mortgage market, and in particular has had problems associated with an ill-timed acquisition of option ARM mortgage specialist Golden West Financial. The bank booked a $1.5 billion provision for credit losses during the fourth quarter of 2007, citing significant deterioration in the residential housing market.

Despite ballooning loss reserves, Wachovia found itself unable to keep up with a sharp rise in non-performing assets during the fourth quarter. NPAs as a percentage of loans (1.08 percent) during the quarter exceeded the loss coverage ratio (0.98) for the first time since the credit crisis began.

News of an investment at Wachovia comes on the heels of a $7 billion capital infusion to Seattle-based Washington Mutual last week, which saw private equity firm TPG take a significant stake in the banking giant.

It’s unclear if an investment at Wachovia would require it to pull back — or exit altogether — its wholesale mortgage banking operations. If so, Wachovia would follow Washington Mutual, which cut its wholesale operations as part of its investment deal.

Sources close to the situation that spoke with HW said that discussions regarding the company’s wholesale mortgage business were part of the early-stage negotiations, but that much of the mortgage focus of negotiations was on option ARM lending and Golden West exposure — and on the company’s substantial commercial real estate exposure.

Wachovia has been looking in recent weeks to make a sharp pullback from option ARM lending, which can quickly put borrowers in a so-called “negative equity” situation (see earlier HW coverage here). During the housing slump, such an outcome is driving many borrowers to simply walk away from their homes, rather than face the often arduous and time-intensive process that can be associated with performing a loan workout.

Disclosure: The author held no positions in WB when this story was originally published. HW reporters and writers follow a strict disclosure policy, the first in the mortgage trade.

Interest Rate & Market Update 04/13/2008

Posted by homeownershipaccelerator on Apr 14th, 2008
2008
Apr 14

This week brings us the release of seven relevant economic reports for the bond market to digest. We are also heading into corporate earnings season which could lead to fluctuations in the stock markets. If earnings come in lighter than estimates, the stock markets may fall, leading to an influx of funds into bonds. But, if earnings and forecasts are strong, the major stock indexes may rally, pulling funds from bonds and leading to higher mortgage rates. Some of the most influential companies don't report quarterly earnings for a few more weeks, but the early releases could affect optimism about what those big named companies' earnings will show.

The first important report comes early tomorrow morning when the Commerce Department will release March's Retail Sales data. This piece of data gives us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts call for a 0.1% incr ease in sales last month. If we see a larger increase in spending, the bond market will probably fall and mortgage rates will rise. However, a weaker than expected reading could push bond prices higher and mortgage rates lower tomorrow.

The Labor Department will post March's Producer Price Index (PPI) early Tuesday morning, giving us an important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two portions of the report that analysts watch- the overall reading and the core data reading. The core data is more important to market participants because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. If it shows rapidly rising prices, inflation fears may hurt bond prices, leading to higher mortgage rates Tuesday morning. However, a small increase, or better yet a decline in prices, would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.4% increase in the overall reading and a 0.2% rise in the core data.